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Mountain Highway Capacity

Highway Expansion - Creating Tomorrows Problems Today
Mountain highway lanes are rarely at full capacity due to rain, hail, fog, snow, wind, ice, flooding, sun glare, avalanche control, breakdowns, construction, accidents, police activity, wildlife on the roadway, rockfalls, snow slides, slow moving vehicles, unfamiliar, bad or slow drivers and any adjacent activity to the highway that provides an opportunity for motorists to slow down and look. Any of these activities can impact motor vehicle travel, regardless of the number of lanes in a specific direction.

When wind driven ground blizzards hit between Idaho Springs and Vail that create zero visibility (day or night) there is no option for the Colorado State Patrol or the Colorado Department of Transportation but to close the highway. With no other option than the I-70 highway, all mountain corridor mobility comes to a halt when severe weather hits.
In addition, there is a known interaction between vehicular traffic in adjacent highway lanes. Due to this interaction, adding a general purpose lane does not necessarily double the vehicle capacity of the adjacent lane. Typical throughput of the additional lane will be 20 to 30 percent less than the adjacent lane.
Once a road becomes sufficiently crowded, then it becomes harder for drivers to coordinate with each other. Each driver has to anticipate what other drivers will do, and because information is transmitted between cars only via brake lights and turn signals which are crude devices at best (and turn signals aren’t always used), anticipation often turns into over-reaction. A single driver who’s too ready to hit the brakes can slow down an entire highway. And because drivers have no bigger picture of what traffic looks like, their decisions (whether to get off at this exit or trudge onward, whether to move out of this lane or stay in it) are haphazard at best.
During periods of any volume, it takes very little to create a traffic jam. A sudden lane change, hard breaking or a sudden entrance from an on ramp and a huge ripple of braking is created that can bring traffic to a stop and go condition for miles. Instead of the elegant, patterned movements of birds, drivers produce the stop-and-go disorganization of a traffic jam.

A mountain highway is an extremely variable transportation medium and only as good as the quality and consistency of the vehicles and drivers using it. I-70 motorists are some of the most careless and reckless in the State according to Colorado State Patrol and Trucking Industry officials. Skiers, Snowboarders and Casino Patrons are very often in hurry to get to their destinations and do not tolerate slow drivers or traffic very well.
Most I-70 motorists have seen significant multi-vehicle accidents and even roll-over incidents when there is just a dusting of snow. Even sun glare can cause significant delays and multi-vehicle accidents.
For most I-70 Mountain Corridor motorists, the most lengthy traffic delays they have or will experience are a result of highway construction, snow or rockslides, accidents and/or bad weather that cause substantial traffic interruption and even complete road closures.

Often the traffic ripple effect of an accident or construction activity can last for hours, well beyond the actual clearing of the vehicles or clearing of the construction equipment involved. Passing motorists may never actually see the accident or construction activity, but can experience the delays they caused for several hours.
If Our Goal is to Reduce Vehicle Miles Traveled and take Vehicles off the I-70 Highway, then how does Highway Expansion Help?
A six lane I-70 will simply put more vehicles and drivers into the mountain corridor. A significant number of I-70 mountain corridor motorists are outdoor recreationists or casino patrons who tend to be fairly aggressive drivers. A six lane I-70 will invite more careless driving, more reckless driving in bad weather, more road rage incidents and more accidents, the impacts of which result in six lanes of congestion istead of four lanes of congestion and little or no improvement in travel times.
A six lane I-70 will be just as vulnerable to bad weather, poor driver behavior, avalanche control, accidents and highway construction, as a four lane I-70 and will provide no option to these events, but to sit in traffic and wait with everyone else.

A highway expansion alternative is also the most destructive solution (environmentally, economically and socially) to Corridor Communities, Corridor Resorts and Colorado in general.
A highway expansion ONLY solution for the I-70 mountain corridor (as proposed by CDOT as the "Preferred" alternative in the Draft PEIS) means that Colorado residents and visitors have as their only option for travel in the corridor; personal vehicle, van shuttle or bus driving to resort destinations (even in blinding snow storms and treacherous icy road conditions). These unpleasant and dangerous experiences ignore traveler safety, discourage future Colorado visits and limit Front Range access to the major mountain resorts; instead of facilitating safety and access, and providing an option to driving in bad weather.
When it snows at 2 inches per hour or more (which is common in the Mountain Corridor, especially from Silver Plume through Vail Pass), there is no way CDOT can keep up with snow removal operations on four lanes, let alone six lanes.

Wind driven ground blizzards creating zero visibility (day or night) mandate I-70 closures, regardless of the number of lanes. Driving in deep snow or under zero visibility conditions is extremely dangerous. How many drivers do you want passing you on either side (as six lanes would allow) in white out or deep snow conditions?
Heavy snow, wind, avalanches, rockfalls and traffic accidents causing injuries and fatalities, drive I-70 closures and shut down the High Country economy. Why would we spend billions of dollars on I-70 highway expansion that will be just as vulnerable to weather related closures that shut down mobility in the mountain corridor and impede the state's resort economy? Wouldn't we be better off investing those same dollars in a safer and more reliable transportation option?
All a six lane I-70 will do is allow more unprepared motorists to crash and be injured, allow more trucks to jack-knife and wreck, allow more horrific traffic backups and strand more motorists throughout the corridor when the inevitable highway closure occurs. This is not rocket science. Colorado needs an option to driving in the corridor in winter weather conditions, which is when many Front Range Residents and Visitors want to get to the Resorts!
A six lane I-70 will not only jeopardize the safety of more motorists, but will place additional burdens on the corridor communities for Law Enforcement, Emergency Management, Fire Protection Service, Ambulance Service and the Care and Sheltering of stranded motorists.
A six lane I-70 will simply put more vehicles and drivers into the mountain corridor. Adding highway capacity always induces travel demand, especially in a recreational corridor with a high degree of suppressed demand. Induced demand often exceeds 100 percent of the new highway capacity, so none of the new capacity is actually available to meet the need of the current traffic volumes. A six lane I-70 will induce vehicle trips greater than its capacity and will actually create congestion levels greater than they are today on a four lane I-70.
With I-70 highway expansion, a significant number of those motorists that had been avoiding the corridor during peak periods by taking an alternate route or by using public transportation, simply switch back to driving in the expanded highway corridor until it very quickly reaches the same congestion level as it had before the expansion. The alternate routes and public transportation will likely see a decrease in use as more motorists use the primary highway corridor, until the highway corridor reaches previous congestion levels.
Adding lanes is not a viable solution for I-70. Increasing capacity in one area of I-70 does not necessarily decrease congestion and decrease travel times. In fact, increased capacity in one area of I-70 will induce travel demand and put a strain on another area of I-70 which will negate the benefit of the capacity improvements for most motorists (see I-70 Congestion).
Courtesy of DRCOG



Courtesy of the Victoria Transport Policy Institute
Traffic congestion is often a symptom of more fundamental problems, such as inadequate mobility options (including lack of travel choices such as public transportation and alternate routes) that force people to drive for every trip. Dispersed land use patterns also increase travel distances. In these areas, expanding roads may reduce short term symptoms but exacerbate long term problems.
Although roadway projects (particularly safety and reliability improvements) can be an appropriate part of a State’s transportation program, continually expanding congested highways tends to be inefficient. The first highways in an area often provide large economic returns, but marginal benefits diminish as more capacity is added for the following reasons:
The first highways projects are generally the most cost effective, because planners are smart enough to prioritize investments. For example, if there are several possible highway alignments on a corridor, those with the greatest benefits and lowest costs are generally built first, leaving less cost effective options for subsequent implementation.
Interregional highways (those connecting cities) are generally constructed first. They tend to provide greater economic benefits and have lower unit costs than local highway expansion, due to numerous conflicts and high land costs in urban areas.
Adding capacity tends to provide declining user benefits, since consumers are smart enough to prioritize trips. For example, if highways are congested, consumers organize their lives to avoid peak automobile period trips. As highway capacity increases they travel more during peak periods, perhaps driving across town during rush hour for an errand that would be deferred, or moving further away from their worksite. Each additional vehicle mile provides smaller user benefits, since the most valued vehicle-miles are already taken.
The main transportation problems in urbanized communities are traffic congestion, inadequate mobility for non-drivers, and various costs associated with increasing motor vehicle traffic, including road and parking facility costs, accidents and pollution emissions, all problems reduced with improved travel options, more efficient travel behavior, and more accessible land use development.
With a mature highway system, it may be better to increase transport diversity and encourage efficiency rather than continuing to expand capacity.
A comfortable and convenient rail based transit solution in the mountain corridor will provide a very attractive travel choice in bad weather for Rocky Mountain travelers of all ages and must be the priority improvement component of the I-70 PEIS process! It is the only alternative that will provide real congestion relief and improved travel times in the I-70 corridor.

CDOT congestion projections are based on plotting Colorado's population and Vehicle Miles Traveled growth over the past 15 years and continuing this trend unabated for the next 15 to 30 years. There is an obvious flaw in this approach.
A number of factors will influence motor vehicle travel over the next 10 to 15 years that are deliberately ignored in CDOT's projections.
1. Any new fuel tax or VMT tax implemented to fill the huge gap in transportation funding as the Highway Users Trust Fund runs out of gas, will provide a big incentive for motorists (especially the Middle Class) to drive less.
2. The USDOT and FHWA's plan of increasing tolling, especially congestion pricing, will provide a big incentive for motorists (especially the Middle Class) to drive less.
3. World peak oil production and the increasing political instability in the Middle East will drive fuel costs up sharply and provide a big incentive for motorists (especially the Middle Class) to drive less.
4. Carbon caps, greenhouse gas emission and air quality regulations will require additional vehicle emission processing and make all motor vehicles more expensive.
5. Hydrogen powered vehicles and plug in electric vehicles that minimize harmful emissions will be very expensive and out of the price range of the Middle Class.
6. Aging Baby-boomers on fixed incomes will be driving less.
7. Only the most affluent motorists will be able to afford discresionary motor vehicle travel.
8. Toll roads will be reserved for the wealthy. The less affluent will be using public transit and local roads.
Decision makers immediately expect that Colorado automobile travel demand will be growing exponentially and continue to discount any current global trends that contradict this assumption. Climate change, our national changing demographics, the war in Iraq, continued political instability in the Middle East and world peak oil production (likely to occur between now and 2011) are not even on their radar screens. They expect that we will be driving as we do today, forever and that more lanes are the only answer.
Instead of designing our future to accommodate people, they are designing our future to accommodate more cars and trucks. In essence, cars have become more important than people in our land use and transportation planning process.
National studies confirm that expanding roadway capacity in any major transportation corridor simply provides an incentive for those travelers that were avoiding peak periods, using car pools, or taking alternate routes or alternate modes, to get back into their single occupancy vehicle and drive in the corridor during the peak period until the congestion level quickly reaches where it was prior to the capacity expansion. But still roadway expansion is still the transportation planning norm throughout the state and country which is widely accepted by elected officials and state and federal decision makers.
Due to the rapidly rising cost of energy, motor vehicle fuels and highway construction, and the increasing number of babyboomer seniors living on fixed incomes; continued auto-oriented low density development will eventually run out of gas in the not so distant future. Colorado should begin planning for better transportation and land use alternatives today and stop throwing away tax dollars on highway expansion projects.
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